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Roundtable
Meeting June 2-3, 1999
Accident Databases: What
Do They Tell Us?
Eboni T. McCray
Mary Kay OConnor Process Safety Center
Chemical Engineering Department
Texas A&M University System
In response to the occurrence of several catastrophic
chemical accidents in the 1980s, numerous regulatory measures have
been taken to improve the safety of the chemical industry. Government
agencies such as the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) have developed safety
programs and legislation to provide chemical facilities with explicit
safety guidelines. During this time, the facilities have been required
to report any releases, accidents, and other hazardous issues to various
government and public agencies. As a result of this reporting, countless
databases have emerged, each with its own data-collecting methodology.
Thorough investigation of these databases will offer
insight into the state of industrial safety since the implementation of
these mandates. Developing a "timeline" that chronicles chemical
accidents facilitates a clear and concise assessment of those chemical
safety programs being followed. Once performed, this assessment will determine
whether or not existing regulations, industry programs, and standard practices
are effective or changes are necessary to improve chemical process safety.
Also, the assessment can provide a key towards developing metrics to assess
our progress.
In light of recent regulatory advances, most notably
the OSHA PSM program and EPA risk management program, it stands to reason
that the development of metrics has added importance. The study of accident
databases will allow for the development of realistic programs that are
sensitive to public, environmental, and employee issues, as well as to
the chemical industrys objectives. Furthermore, analyzing the current
databases leads to the development of more comprehensive databases for
the future, and results in more clearly defined safety objectives.
The databases chosen in this investigation originate
from many sources, each with different objectives. The following is a
list of the databases included in this analysis:
- OSHA Statistics of Workplace Injuries Annual
Survey - Bureau of Labor and Statistics (1974-1991)
- Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries - Bureau
of Labor and Statistics (1992-1997)
- Office of Pipeline Safety (1986-1998)
- Hazardous Materials Incidents - U.S. Department
of Transportation (1987-1996)
- Bureau of Transportation Statistics (1987-1996)
- National Board of Boiler and Pressure Vessel
Inspectors Incident Report (1992-1997)
- Emergency Response Notification System - EPA
(1987-1998)
- Accident Release Information Program
EPA (1986-1997)
OSHA Statistics for Workplace Injuries/Fatalities
This database is OSHAs rudimentary program
that documents work-related injuries and fatalities by using data from
the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS). With statistics dating from
the mid-1970s to 1991, this annual survey reports fatalities in
many different industries. The industries of interest here are the private,
mining, manufacturing and transportation industries. The Bureau is of
the opinion that this database considerably underestimates the number
of workplace fatalities, due to their rare occurrences. As a result, the
BLS developed the Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries (CFOI) in order
to collect more comprehensive data. The CFOI is discussed later in this
paper.
Data Interpretation: (See Table I and
Charts I & II.)
Despite a few fluctuations, there is a definite
downward trend in the number of workplace fatalities in the private industry
from 1974-1991 (Chart I). The maximum number of fatalities, 4970, occurred
in 1974 and lowest, 2800, occurred in 1991. This represents a 43% decrease
during the 17-year period. The same trend, however, is not as definitive
for the other industries. Chart II shows the number of fatalities occurring
from 1978 to 1991 in the manufacturing, mining, and transportation/public
utilities industries.
In the manufacturing industry, a definite decline
in fatalities is exhibited from 1978 to 1983, with a maximum of 1170 fatalities
and a low of 730 fatalities, respectively. However, from 1984 to 1987,
the number of fatalities begins to fluctuate and hover around 800. Then
in 1988 the number decreases to 660, and fluctuates again each year from
500 in 1990, to 600 in 1991. Although the numbers do not decline consecutively
for all the years in this data set, the number of fatalities exhibits
a general downward trend. This trend illustrates a 48% reduction in the
number of fatalities.
The same yearly fluctuations are present for the
mining industry. The maximum number of fatalities, 500, occurs in 1981,
and the lowest occurs in 1991 with a total of 100 fatalities. This represents
an 80% decline in fatalities for the ten-year period. It should be noted
that no fatality data is available for this industry in 1990.
For the transportation/public utilities industry
exhibits a general decline in fatalities. The greatest number of fatalities,
970, occurred in 1982, and the smallest number, 400, occurred in 1991.
For this nine-year period, the number of fatalities decreased by 58%.
In order to determine a true trend in fatalities
for the four industries being discussed, Table II provides average annual
employee numbers. This employee data comes from the Bureau of Labor and
Statistics Employment, Hours, and Earnings Data.
Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries
(CFOI)
For over 100 years, the Bureau of Labor and Statistics
(BLS) has collected occupational injury/illness statistics. Over those
years the data collection methods have evolved to help facilitate a better
analysis of workplace safety. A desire to provide more complete work-place
fatality data lead to the development of the Census of Fatal Occupational
Injuries in 1992. The CFOI is a comprehensive database that provides descriptive
information on workers and the circumstances surrounding their deaths.
This database is a census of information collected
from various industries. These industries report their statistics voluntarily,
and the information is not mandated by any particular federal or state
agency. This program collects its information from death certificates,
medical examiners reports, workers compensation fatality claims,
and other Federal and State agency reports in order to provide a more
substantiated count of work-place fatalities.
Although the CFOI provides data for general and
very specific industries, this analysis is concerned with the private,
manufacturing, mining, and transportation/public utilities industries.
These industries cover a broader spectrum of the private and public sectors,
and allow comparisons to be readily made. The total number of fatalities
is based on average annual estimates of employed civilians who are 16
years of age and older, from the Current Population Survey.
Data Interpretation:
Tables III and IV contain the fatality data by industry
and event/exposure. Charts III and IV illustrate the total number of fatalities
for all industries from 1993-1996 as well as the number of fatalities
by industry. Charts V through IX show the number of fatalities by event/exposure
for the industries of interest.
Fatalities by Industry
The total number of fatalities has changed very
little since 1993. In 1994, a total of 6632 fatalities occurred, and in
1996 the number decreased to 6112, which represents a 3% decline. The
fatality numbers for each of the four industries show the same minimal
changes. The manufacturing industry had a 10% decline in fatalities from
1994 to 1995. However the following year that number increased by 1.8%.
The private industry numbers exhibited a maximum decline of 8.1% between
1994 and 1995. Nevertheless, in 1996 a 1.5% increase in fatalities occurred.
The mining industry statistics showed the highest decline percentage with
a 15.5% decrease from 1994 to 1996. In contrast, the transportation industry
illustrated an overall increase in the number of fatalities occurring
over the 4-year period. Although the lowest number of fatalities, 880
occurred in 1995, the highest number, 947, occurred the next year. This
is a 7% climb in the number of fatalities.
Fatalities by Event/Exposure
The total number of fatalities and those for each
industry are separated into different categories. The general categories
of interest in this analysis are exposure to harmful substances and environments,
fires and explosions, and contact with objects and equipment.
Total Number of Fatalities (Chart V)
The exposure to harmful substances/environments
category shows a maximum decline in fatalities from 1994 to 1996, with
a 16.8% decrease. Yet, in 1997 that number of fatalities increased slightly
by 3%. The event with the least number of fatalities is fires and explosions.
The lowest number of fatalities, 167, occurred in 1992, while the highest
number occurred in 1995, with 205 deaths. Since then, the numbers remain
essentially constant from 1993 to 1995, then fall slightly in 1996, the
trend over the 5-year period is an increasing one. The contact with objects/equipment
category showed the most fatalities. The lowest number of fatalities,
916 occurred in 1995, but all other years exceed 1000 fatalities. From
1995 to 1997 number of fatalities increased 11.4%.
Private Industry (Chart VI)
In general the number of fatalities due to exposure
to harmful substances/environments in the private industry exhibited a
steady decline from 1994 to 1996. This decline is equivalent to an 18.7%
decrease. The number of fatalities due to fires and explosions fluctuated
slightly from year to year, with a 4.5% decrease from 1995 to 1996. Despite
this decrease, the number of fatalities remains basically constant over
the 4-year period. Once again contact with objects and equipment garners
the most fatalities. From 1993 to 1995 the number of fatalities decreased
consistently, however, in 1996 the number increased by 8.8%.
Manufacturing Industry (Chart VII)
In 1993 and 1994, the number of fatalities remained
constant at a value of 81. The following two years show a decrease in
fatalities, with the number falling to 56. This represents a 30.8% decrease
for this event. Fires and explosions account for the least number of fatalities
for each year. From 1994 to 1995, the number of fatalities increased by
16.9%. The fatality count for contact with objects and equipment oscillates
from year to year, with the maximum number, 304, occurring in 1994. The
next year the numbers decreased by 17.7% to 250. However, in 1996 the
number increased to 278, which is a 10% increase.
Mining Industry (Chart VIII)
The mining industry had the least number of fatalities
for all years and categories. The number of deaths due to exposure decreased
steadily from 1994 to 1996. This declining trend from 1994 to 1996 denotes
a 59.2% decrease. In contrast, the number of deaths due to fires/explosions
increased from 8 in 1993 to 27 in 1994. This trend continued in 1994,
when the number decreased to 16, but increased to 17 in 1996. Over the
4-year period, the trend is an increasing one.
Transportation/Public Utilities (Chart IX)
Exposure to harmful substances/environments accounts
for 42 fatalities in 1993, which is the lowest figure in the 4-year period.
For 1994, 1995, and 1996 the figures are 59, 52, and 68, respectively.
Despite these minor oscillations, there is a slight upward trend for this
event, which illustrates a 38.2% increase from 1993 to 1996. The fatalities
resulting from fires and explosions have decreased over the 4-year period.
The highest number occurred in 1994, with 22 fatalities. The lowest number,
7, occurred the next year, followed by a slight increase for each succeeding
year. However, the number of deaths that occurred in 1996 is only 13,
which is still 40.9 % less than the highest figure. The highest figures
are accumulated in the contact category. For this event no real trend
can be determined due to the variable fluctuations of the numbers.
Office of Pipeline Safety
This database consists of information reported to
the Office of Pipeline Safety by various pipeline operators. The information
dates back to 1986, with some earlier data collected in 1984. The four
areas of documented in these data tables are: number of incidents, number
of injuries, number of fatalities, and the amount of property damage occurring
each year. Transmission, distribution, and hazardous liquid pipeline operators
document these areas.
Transmission Operators (Table V &
Charts X, XI, XII, XIII)
From 1986 to 1998 the number of incidents, injuries,
and fatalities for transmission operators shows a noticeable oscillation.
In 1989 the number of incidents, injuries, and fatalities were at a maximum,
while the property damage was moderate. This fact leads to the conclusion
that an increase in fatalities, injuries, and incidents does not necessarily
mean an increase in property damage. Furthermore, the events leading to
such casualties are not specifically linked to massive equipment or product
loss, which would surely incur great expense. Thus, it is surmised that
these incidents are linked to more common, every-day errors that are undetected
or ignored. These conclusions are mirrored by the 1994 statistics. In
1994 over 45 million dollars of property damage was incurred. However,
during that year only 81 incidents and 22 injuries were reported. No fatalities
were reported during 1994. Besides these observable trends, the other
years exhibit fluctuations that cannot be readily defined.
Distribution Operators (Table VI & Charts
XIV, XV, XVI, XVII)
The data in distribution operators tables exhibit
more erratic fluctuations than the transmission data. The one similarity
between the two groups is the fact that property damage and injury/fatality
data do not coincide. The distribution operators accumulated over 53 million
dollars in property damage, the most over the 12-year period. Conversely,
the number of fatalities, injuries, and incidents were mid-range. So,
again it is concluded that the casualties result from less catastrophic
events. In 1996 the maximum number of fatalities, 47, resulted from the
110 incidents reported. However, only 12.5 million dollars in damages
were amassed.
Hazardous Liquid Operators (Table VII, Charts
XVIII, XIX, XX, XXI)
For this sector of pipeline operators the maximum
number of incidents did correlate with the greatest amount of property
damage. In 1994, 56 million dollars worth of property damage was accumulated
as a result to the 243 reported incidents. This correlation may be indicative
of the nature of the materials in the pipeline. These hazardous liquids
increase the risk of equipment damage due to potential for corrosion,
which in turn increases the potential for equipment failure. These failures,
no doubt, result in a great loss of product and equipment.
The number of fatalities and injuries do not follow
the same trend as property damage and incidents. This may be attributed
to the fact that the hazardous nature of the liquids elicits more primary
and secondary means of protection for the employees. No more than five
fatalities have occurred in a given year for the entire 12-year period.
Even though 1997 and 1998 injuries, incidents, and fatalities are small,
the property damages are still very large.
Hazardous Materials Incidents U.S.
DOT (Table VIII)
This database, maintained by the DOT, contains information
submitted by companies in an incident report form. This form documents
information regarding hazardous materials incidents involving vehicular
accidents and derailments. The four transportation categories of interest
are air, highway, railway, and water. The database chronicles the number
of incidents, injuries, and deaths as well as the amount of property damage
accrued from 1987-1996.
Data Interpretation: (Chart XXII, XXIII,
XXIV, & XXV)
From the data, it becomes obvious that highway and
railway transportation of hazardous materials accounts for all the deaths
and injuries, and almost all accidents and the property damage accumulated
over the 10-year period. The number of highway incidents appears to follow
no definite trend, and the same can be said for the number of railway
incidents. The number of highway incidents seems to hover around 250 incidents
per year with slight increases and decreases from year to year. The number
of railway incidents tends to oscillate around 50 incidents per year.
From 1987 to 1995 highway incidents account for
all the deaths on the chart. The number of fatalities hits a maximum in
1992 and then begins a constant decline to the lowest figure of 5 in 1996.
In 1996 two fatalities occurred as a result of railway incidents. However,
this isolated year, is not indicative of the constant no-fatality trend
from 1987-1995. Although there is one water accident recorded in 1992,
this isolated incident is considered an anomaly.
The number of injuries resulting from highway accidents
fluctuates from 1987 to 1990. Then in 1991 the number begins on an upward
climb, and hits a peak in 1994 with 95 injuries. The railway accidents
garnered numerous injuries in 1995 and 1996 with 842 and 962 injuries,
respectively. These two figures are a huge jump from the very small number
of injuries encountered in previous years.
The amount of property damage accrued due to highway
accidents remained fairly constant form 1987 to 1989. After a small increase
in 1990, the amount skyrocketed to almost 24 million dollars. During next
two years the amount decreased dramatically, but the last three years
show a constant increase. The railway damages exhibit much more varied
behavior, however, in 1996 the damages reach a maximum of over 15 million
dollars. The most noticeable aspect of this data is that there is no correlation
between the number of accidents that occur and the property damage.
Bureau of Transportation Statistics
U.S. DOT (Table IX & Table X)
The Bureau of Transportation (BTS) operates under
the administration of the U.S. Department of Transportation and was established
in December 1992. The primary objective of BTS is to increase public awareness
of the nations transportation system and to provide a sound knowledge
base to aid in public decision making. In order to accomplish this the
BTS has developed a system of data-collection and analysis, which assists
the DOT in assessing the safety practices of the nations transportation
system. The modes of transportation are identical to those in the DOTs
Hazardous Materials Incident report, namely air, highway, railway, and
water.
Data Interpretation: (Charts XXVI through
XXXII)
Note: Due to the fact that data is not available
for 1976-1979, 1981-1984, and 1986-1989, a complete analysis of possible
trends cannot be performed.
Hazardous Material
The number of air accidents has gradually increased
since 1991 to 1996, excluding the small decrease in 1995. The number of
railway accident has remained fairly constant over that same time period,
averaging over 1000 per year. In contrast, the number of highway incidents
remains relatively steady from 1990 to 1992. In 1993, the number increased,
and then reached almost 14,000 in 1994. The number of highway incident
starts to decrease in 1995 and then again 1996. Despite these changes,
the general trend for this mode of transportation is an increasing one.
The number of water incidents has fluctuated slightly, but has still maintained
relatively low values in comparison to the other modes of transportation.
No fatalities occurred over the entire time period
for water transportation. Air fatalities, however, did occur in 1996.
During this year 110 people died. Further investigation of this data show
that all 110 deaths are the result the crash of Valujet Flight 592 in
the Florida Everglades. This event is considered an anomaly, since no
other deaths are recorded for the entire 21-year period.
The number of highway fatalities has declined overall
since 1975. From 1990 to 1992 the numbers increase slightly, then begin
to decrease from 1993 to 1996. Railway fatalities are zero for the entire
time span, except for the 2 deaths recorded in 1980.
The injury data shows no more than 3 injuries have
resulted from water accidents during the entire 21-year period. The number
of injuries caused by air accidents has increased since 1975, but this
increase has not followed any definite pattern. Railway accidents have
caused a varied number of injuries each year, which cannot be defined
as a trend. However, in 1996, 925 injuries are recorded, which is uncharacteristic
on the previous years numbers. The highway injuries have decreased
in number overall since 1975. This is despite a period of growth from
1990 to 1993 when numbers begin to increase and peak at 511. In 1994 the
numbers begin to decline and reach 211 in 1996, the second lowest number
recorded.
Hazardous Liquid and Natural Gas
Since 1970 the number of incidents involving hazardous
liquid has declined. However, the number has been relatively constant
since 1991, with about 200 incidents per year. The number of natural gas
incidents has exhibited the same sharp decline since 1980, but has remained
constant at about 200 since 1990.
The number of fatalities for both hazardous liquids
and gas has varied over the 26-year period. In the latter years, 1994
to 1996, hazardous liquid fatalities has declined steadily, while the
gas fatalities have steadily increased. Injury data shows that hazardous
liquids generally cause fewer injuries than gas. In 1994, a record number
of injuries, 1858, occurred which can only be considered an anomaly when
compared to the other years. Injuries resulting from natural gas accidents
have declined since 1970, but minor fluctuations have occurred since 1991.
Finally, the amount of property damage increased significantly since 1970
for both hazardous liquid and gas categories.
The data shows that although the number of incidents
declined steadily, the amount of property damage increased steadily. This
inversely proportional behavior contradicts what would normally be expected.
National Board of Boiler and Pressure Vessel
Inspectors Incident Report
The National Board of Boiler and Pressure Vessel
Inspectors was established in 1919 to provide better safety standards
for boiler and pressure vessel usage, manufacture, inspection, and maintenance.
In 1992, the National Board began documenting the number of accidents,
injuries, and deaths that occur involving boilers and pressure vessels.
The incident reports are divided into four categories: power boilers,
water heating boilers, steam heating boilers, and unfired pressure vessels.
Data Interpretation: (Tables XI, XII, &
XIII and Charts XXXIII through LVI)
The data in these incident reports list several
incident causes. A qualitative analysis of the data shows which events
cause the most incidents, injuries, and deaths.
Power Boiler
Operator error/poor maintenance and low water cut
off are the major causes of accidents for power boilers. The number of
accidents follows no trend of increase or decline. Injuries due to power
boiler accidents are also mostly caused by these same two events. Injuries
caused by operator error/poor maintenance vary greatly in number, but
the number has declined steadily since 1995. Conversely, injuries caused
by low water cut off have declined drastically to zero over the last four
years. No fatalities have resulted from low water cut off, but a few fatalities
have occurred due to operator error. The number of fatalities has not
exceeded 4 over the 5-year period.
Heating Boiler (water)
As with the power boilers, low water cut off and
operator error/poor maintenance are the primary causes of accidents for
these boilers. The number of low water cut off-incidents declined consistently
form 1994 to 1996, but increased sharply to 647 in 1997. Operator error/poor
maintenance-incidents climbed steadily from 1993 to 1996, then plummeted
to 97 in 1997. Burner failure is another significant contributor to accidents
for water boilers. The number of incidents caused by this event has increased
since 1992.
Operator error, burner failure, limit controls and
improper installation cause the most injuries. However, the number of
injuries for any of the events never exceeded 7 per year. No true trend
can be devised from the injury data for any of the events, except operator
error, which has declined in injuries over the past 5 years. Fatalities
are rare for this type of boiler. However, when they occur, no more than
3 deaths have resulted in a given year.
Heating Boiler (Steam)
Again, operator error/poor maintenance and low water
cut off caused the most accidents. The former has been rather constant
in the number of accidents since 1993, whereas the latter has declined
significantly since 1993. Injury data show that burner failure and operator
error/poor maintenance caused the most injuries over the 5-year period.
This is mainly due to the large numbers of injuries recorded in 1996 for
both events. Omitting 1996 from the comparison shows that no real injury
trend is evident in the data for any of the events. Fatalities are extremely
rare for these steam boiler accidents. The only 3 fatalities over the
5-year period resulted from improper repair (1 fatality) and burner failure
(2 fatalities).
Unfired Pressure Vessel
Accidents involving these vessels result mainly
from four different events: safety relief valve failure, limit controls,
improper installation and repair, and operator error/poor maintenance.
All of these events are significant contributors, but operator error/poor
maintenance is the number one cause with over 140 accidents per year.
One common thread among these events is the fact that the accident numbers
vary, leading to no obvious trend.
Injuries caused by these vessel-accidents result
primary from the improper installation and operator error/poor maintenance
events. The number of injuries follows no particular trend. Operator error
and faulty design generally cause the fatalities. There is an upward trend
in the number of fatalities caused by operator error/poor maintenance.
Also, the number of fatalities resulting from faulty design shows a slight
downward trend.
Emergency Response Notification System
The Emergency Response Notification System (ERNS)
is a cooperative data- sharing program between the EPA, DOT, the National
Response Center, and the John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems
Center. Established in 1986, this database stores information regarding
oil discharges and hazardous substances release notifications. The database
is categorized by the 10 EPA regions, which are listed below.
Region 1: Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maine,
New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. (Table XIV, Charts LVII
& LVII)
Region 2: New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico,
the U.S. Virgin Islands, Lake Ontario, and eastern portion of Lake
Erie. (Table XV, Charts LIX &LX)
Region 3: Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania,
Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia. (Table XVI,
Charts LXI & LXII)
Region 4: Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky,
Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. (Table
XVII, Charts LXII & LXIV)
Region 5: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota,
Ohio, Wisconsin, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, Lake Superior, western
portion of Lake Erie. (Table XVII, Charts LXV & LXVI)
Region 6: Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma,
and Texas. (Table XIX, Charts LXVII & LXVIII)
Region 7: Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska.
(Table XX, Charts LXIX & LXX)
Region 8: Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South
Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming. (Table XXI, Charts LXXI & LXXII)
Region 9: Arizona, California, Hawaii, Nevada,
American Samoa, Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands,
and the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands. (Table XIX, Charts
LXVII & LXVIII)
Region 10: Alaska, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington.
(Table XXIII, Charts LXXV & LXXVI)
The ERNS database is a collection of the initial
release reports, which are primarily made during or immediately following
a release. Consequently, the details of the release are usually unknown.
The quality of the data is limited by two major factors:
- Reports are taken over the phone can result
in transcription errors,
- Multiple reports can be taken for a single
incident due to original report being updated or to a private observer-reporting
incident that has already been documented.
Data Interpretation:
In order to gain insight into safety trends, it
is advantageous to analyze the three regions that experienced the most
incidents, injuries and deaths over the 12-year period. Table XXIV and
Chart LXXVI show that those three regions are Region 4, Region 6, and
Region 9. By investigating the data for these three regions, hypotheses
for the other seven regions can be made.
Region 4 (Table XVII, Charts LXII &
LXIV)
The ERNS data for Region 4 shows that the
number of incidents typically ranges between about 3500 and 4800. However
for 1988 and 1994, the number of incidents is 7418 and 10,068, respectively.
The death toll for each year typically numbers less than 50; yet, once
again, for 1988 and 1994, the numbers of fatalities are abnormally high
at 638 and 92, respectively. This same trend is closely followed in the
injury data as well during 1988 and 1994. There is a slight difference
in 1987, where the number of injuries is also high. Apart form 1988 and
1994, it is obvious that the number of incidents remains fairly constant
from 1991 to 1996. For all the remaining years, the number of injuries
shows a steady increase from 1990 to 1993, and a steady decline from 1995
to 1996. The injury and accident data correspond exactly with the trends
they exhibit. The death data also corresponds well with the trends.
Region 6 (Table XIX, Charts LXVII &
LXVIII)
The number of incidents occurring in Region 6 has
increased over the 12-year period. Most of the increase occurred between
1989 and 1996, where the average number of incidents is about 9400. In
1997 the number decreased to 8832 and decreased again in 1998 to 6101.
This last value is still 11.1% greater than the lowest number, which occurred
in 1987.
The injury data illustrates more fluctuation, with
a maximum value, 1270, occurring in 1987. During the following years the
numbers are sharply lower. Following this peak in 1987, the number drops
to a minimum of 138 injuries. A period of growth occurs between 1993 and
1996, which peaks at 488. If the 1987 data is omitted, the other years
on the chart show varying oscillation which exhibits no real trend.
The fatality toll is the highest in 1987, with 1015
deaths occurring. From 1988 to 1998, the number of deaths numbers less
than 70. The fatality numbers vary only from 1990 to 1993. Then the numbers
increase to a magnitude of about 30 to 50. The general trend is a "U"
shaped plot with the minimum of 17 in 1993, and maximums of 68 and 49
in 1989 and 1996, respectively.
Region 9 (Table XIX, Charts LXVII &
LXVIII)
The incident data exhibits a skewed bell-shaped
curve that has a maximum value of 8316 in 1991. The left endpoint of this
"curve" is 5347 for 1987, and the right endpoint is 2264 in
1998. The right side of this curve has an essentially negative slope.
Therefore, it is surmised the number of incidents in Region 9 has declined
by about 69% from 1994 to 1998. In contrast, the death and injury data
shows no observable trend. Both data sets demonstrate random fluctuations
that do not follow any observable trend.
Accident Release Information Program
The Accident Release Information Program (ARIP)
is another EPA subsidiary project that takes its information from the
ERNS database. The EPA selects certain releases from the ERNS database
to be subjected to the ARIP 23-question survey. Those particular accidents
must have occurred at fixed facilities and must have resulted in environmental
damage and/or off-site consequences. Those consequences are defined by
the EPA as any evacuation, casualty, shelter-in-place or other precautionary
measures taken by individuals off-site as a result of the release. Environmental
damage is defined as any death of wildlife, soil and surface water contamination,
and vegetation damage. The purpose of the ARIP questionnaire is to document
all significant accidents. Thus it is sent to all releases that result
in injury or death. Since its inception in 1986, the ARIP survey has undergone
several changes in order to streamline data gathering and to target the
more significant accidents. As of September 1997, ARIP has been restricted
to collecting data on a maximum of nine incidents per year. Consequently,
this database is not a comprehensive basis for data comparison in the
future. Nevertheless, the data from 1986 to 1997 is included in this work.
Data Interpretation:
The number of fatalities reported to ARIP has not
exceeded 11 for any given year. In fact, the number of fatalities is extremely
low when compared to the number of injuries that occur from 1986 to 1997.
The number of injuries reported in 1987, 1990, and 1991 are extremely
high with figures of 1160, 811, and 1442, respectively. Injury figures
for 1988, 1992, and 1994 are 262, 231, and 230, respectively. Although
these numbers are high, they pale in comparison to the former years. Together,
these six years account for the majority of the injuries reported to ARIP
during this time period. The remaining six years show very few injuries.
Thus, the injury and death data exhibit no authentic trend that can characterize
the safety conditions in the chemical industry.
Conclusion
What this investigation provides is an outline of
safety conditions that shows that in general, the number of workplace
accidents, injuries, and fatalities has not changed significantly in the
past decade. Despite new legislation and safety programs, the safety statistics
remain stagnant. This leads to the question, "Is it realistic to
expect dramatic changes in workplace safety after only a few years of
program implementations?" Before this question can be answered, industry
must be able to define and set realistic goals in order measure progress.
The information collected in these eight databases
is varied and complex. Analysis of these databases does not give a detailed
picture of the state of workplace safety. This is because the databases
have different data-collecting methodologies, objectives, and chronologies.
Therefore, it is imperative that stakeholders pick a starting point on
the continuum from which to measure changes in workplace safety. Additionally,
there must be cooperation and understanding between the various stakeholders
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